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NEWS U CAN USE
Sep 20, 2024
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
The Week that was…
16
th
Sep to 20
th
Sep
2
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Indian Economy
• India’s wholesale price index (WPI) based inflation eased to 4-month low of 1.31% YoY in
Aug 2024 as compared to 2.04% in Jul 2024. The positive rate of inflation in Aug 2024 was
primarily due to an increase in prices of food articles, processed food products, other
manufacturing, manufacture of textiles and manufacture of machinery & equipment etc.
• India’s merchandise trade deficit widened to $29.65 billion in Aug 2024 from $24.02 billion
in Aug 2023. Exports fell by 9.33% to $34.71 billion in Aug 2024 from $38.28 billion of the
same month of previous year, while imports rose by 3.31% to $64.36 billion from $62.30
billion during the same period.
• According to government’s data, advance tax collections in India increased by 22.61% to
Rs. 4.36 lakh crore in the first half of FY25, indicating strong corporate performance and a
robust economy. Net direct tax collections rose 16.12% to Rs. 9.95 lakh crore, with
personal income tax showing significant growth over corporate income tax.
• According to the labour ministry data, retail inflation for farm workers and rural labourers
eased to 5.96% and 6.08% YoY, respectively, in Aug 2024 against the comparative figures
of 6.17% cent and 6.20% recorded in Jul 2024.
• According to the latest RBI report, India's net foreign direct investment during the Apr to
Jul period of FY25 rose to $5.5 billion compared to $3.8 billion in the year-ago period.
Manufacturing, financial services, communication services, computer services, electricity,
and other energy sectors accounted for more than three-fourths of the gross FDI inflows.
3
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4
Domestic Equity Market Indices
Indices
20-Sep-24 1 Week Return YTD Return
BSE Sensex
84,544.31 1.99% 17.03%
Nifty 50
25,790.95 1.71% 18.68%
BSE Mid
-Cap 49,163.22 -0.16% 33.45%
BSE Small
-Cap 57,081.61 -0.08% 33.76%
Source: Refinitiv
Values as on Sep 20, 2024
• Domestic equity markets rose for the
second consecutive week as key
benchmark indices BSE Sensex and
Nifty 50 rose 1.99% and 1.71%,
respectively. However, the mid-cap
segment and the small-cap segment
closed the week in red.
• Domestic equity markets rose during
the week as investors reacted positively
to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision
to cut interest rate by 50 bps, signaling
further easing in coming months to
keep the labor market from slowing
too much. Markets reached fresh highs
on expectations of inflow of foreign
funds into domestic equity markets
following the big interest rate cut by
the U.S. central bank. However,
markets witnessed some profit booking
at higher levels amid signs of escalating
tensions in the Middle East.
Ratios
BSE Sensex
Nifty 50 BSE Mid Cap
BSE Small
Cap
P/E
24.80 23.98 33.56 35.99
P/B
4.28 4.08 4.46 4.23
Dividend Yield
1.08 1.18 0.86 0.55
Source: NSE, BSE
Values as on Sep 20, 2024
Indian Equity Market
NSE Advance/Decline Ratio
Date
Advances Declines Advance/Decline Ratio
16-Sep-24 1,374 1,399 0.98
17-Sep-24 1,072 1,674 0.64
18-Sep-24 891 1,876 0.47
19-Sep-24 790 1,961 0.40
20-Sep-24 1,779 959 1.86
Source: NSE
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5
Sectoral Indices
Indices
Last Returns (in %)
Closing 1-Wk 1-Mth
BSE Auto
59,649.55 2.30% 3.27%
BSE Bankex
60,955.12 3.47% 5.26%
BSE CD
67,842.34 1.64% 10.08%
BSE CG
73,373.89 0.99% 0.78%
BSE FMCG
23,943.93 1.06% 5.68%
BSE HC
44,135.35 -0.39% 6.06%
BSE IT
42,737.49 -2.83% 1.23%
BSE Metal
31,973.89 0.28% 0.71%
BSE Oil & Gas
30,130.79 -1.83% -7.18%
Source:BSE
Values as on Sep 20, 2024
• On the BSE sectoral front, BSE Realty, BSE
Bankex & BSE AUTO gained 4.67%, 3.47% &
2.30%, respectively, as investors responded
favorably to these rate-sensitive sectors
following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to
reduce the interest rate significantly by 50 bps,
marking the first decrease in borrowing costs
since Mar 2020.
Indian Derivatives Market Review
• Nifty Sep 2024 Futures stood at 25,767.75, a discount of 23.20 points below the spot
closing of 25,790.95.
• The total turnover on NSE’s Futures and Options segment for the week stood at Rs.
2,107.83 lakh crore as against Rs. 2,127.11 lakh crore for the week to Sep 13.
• The Put-Call ratio stood was unchanged at 0.77 compared with the previous week’s close.
• The Nifty Put-Call ratio stood at 1.5 compared with the previous week’s close of 1.33.
Indian Equity Market (contd.)
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6.74
6.76
6.78
6.80
16-Sep 17-Sep 19-Sep 20-Sep
Yield in %
10 -Yr Benchmark Bond ( % )
Source: CCIL
6
Debt Indicators
(%)
Current
Value
1-Wk
Ago
1-Mth
Ago
6-Mth
Ago
Call Rate
6.69 6.62 6.50 6.48
91 Day T-Bill
6.57 6.57 6.60 6.93
07.06% 2028, (5 Yr GOI)
6.69 6.72 6.79 7.10
07.10% 2034, (10 Yr GOI)
6.76 6.79 6.86 7.09
Source: Refinitiv Values as on Sep 20, 2024
• Bond yields fell after the U.S. Federal
Reserve kicked off its interest rate cut
cycle, with a significant reduction of 50
basis points. Market participants will
keep a close eye on the domestic
borrowing calendar for the second half
of FY25 for further cues.
• Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper
(7.10% GS 2034) fell by 3 bps to close at
6.76% from the previous week’s close of
6.79%.
• Data from Reserve Bank of India showed
that India's foreign exchange reserves
increased to $689.46 billion for the week
ended Sep 13, 2024 compared with
$689.24 billion a week earlier.
Domestic Debt Market
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-9
-6
-3
0
6.20
6.40
6.60
6.80
7.00
3 Mths 6 Mths 1 Yr 5 Yrs 10 Yrs 20 Yrs 30 Yrs
India Yield Curve Shift (%) (W-o-W)
Change in bps 20-Sep-24 13-Sep-24
Yield in %
Change in bps
Source: Refinitiv
7
Maturity
G-Sec Yield
(%)
Corporate Yield
(%)
Spread
bps
1 Year 6.73 7.5 77
3 Year 6.80 7.38 58
5 Year 6.79 7.36 57
10 Year 6.88 7.38 50
Source: Refinitiv
Values as on Sep 20, 2024
• Yields on gilt fell up to 8 bps across the maturities.
• Corporate bond yields fell up to 6 bps across the
curve, barring 4 & 5 year papers that increased by 1
bps each, while 3 year paper remained steady.
• Difference in spread between AAA corporate bond
and gilt expanded between 2 to 5 bps across the
segments, barring 10 & 15 year paper that remained
steady.
Domestic Debt Market (Spread Analysis)
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8
• The Directorate General of Goods and Services Tax Intelligence (DGGI) has proposed
establishing reciprocal agreements with international governments to enhance information
sharing and enforcement measures aimed at curbing tax evasion in Online Information and
Database Access or Retrieval (OIDAR) services, such as e-gaming and online education. This
initiative seeks to address the issue of uncooperative offshore entities, including online
casinos operating from tax havens, by enabling data sharing and blocking access to their
websites.
• According to a circular by the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT), the Income Tax
Department has raised the minimum thresholds for filing appeals in tax disputes. Appeals
can now be submitted only if the disputed tax amount is over Rs. 60 lakh for the Income Tax
Appellate Tribunal, Rs. 2 crore for high courts, and Rs. 5 crore for the Supreme Court. This
change is intended to minimize frivolous litigation and speed up the resolution of disputes.
• SEBI has granted mutual funds the authorization to purchase and sell a novel financial
instrument known as credit default swaps (CDS). Essentially, CDS functions as purchasing
insurance by making a modest premium payment in exchange for potential risk exposure in
a corporate bond. At present, mutual fund companies are permitted to procure CDS
coverage for corporate bonds that are a part of Fixed Maturity Plans with a maturity period
of at least one year. With this, the capital market regulator has now allowed debt funds to
buy CDS for all schemes and sell CDS with exception of overnight and liquid funds.
Regulatory Updates in India
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9
• The finance minister introduced the NPS Vatsalya scheme after the announcement of the
Union Budget 2024-25. The minister will also unveil an online platform for NPS Vatsalya
subscriptions, publish a brochure detailing the scheme, and hand out Permanent
Retirement Account Number (PRAN) cards to minor subscribers.
• The Union Minister of Cooperation introduced the ‘White Revolution 2.0’ initiative in an
effort to revolutionize the dairy cooperative industry in India. The program's objectives are
to strengthen the dairy industry's infrastructure, increase milk production, empower
women farmers, and increase exports. In addition to computerizing Primary Agriculture
Credit Societies, it involves the introduction of RuPay Kisan Credit Cards and micro-ATMs
for dairy producers.
• SEBI has announced a new payment platform designed for the collection of fees to ensure
that investors only pay fees to Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) and Research
Analysts (RAs). This platform will be known as the Centralized Fee Collection Mechanism
(CeFCoM) for RIAs and RAs. A recognized Administration and Supervisory Body (ASB),
appointed by the regulator, will oversee the new platform.
Regulatory Updates in India (contd..)
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• The U.S. Federal Reserve announced its anticipated decision on 18th Sep, 2024 to reduce
interest rates for the first time since Mar 2020, implementing a significant cut of half a
percentage point. Further, the U.S. Federal Reserve has indicated that its officials are
increasingly confident that inflation is progressing steadily towards the 2% target.
Consequently, the central bank has reduced the target range for the federal funds rate by
50 basis points, setting it at 4.75% to 5.00%. The U.S. Federal officials anticipate further
reductions in interest rates next year, with forecasts suggesting a decrease of an additional
full percentage point by the end of 2025.
• The Bank of England announced on 19th Sep, 2024 that it would keep its benchmark
interest rate unchanged following a quarter-point reduction implemented last month,
while also prolonging its bond reduction strategy for an additional year. The Bank of
England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 8-1 to maintain the Bank Rate at 5%.
• The People's Bank of China kept its one-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.35% on 20th
Sep, 2024. Similarly, the five-year LPR, the benchmark for mortgage rates, was retained at
3.85%. The bank had last reduced the LPR in Jul, 2024 by 10 basis points.
• The Bank of Japan decided to keep its benchmark interest rate steady, as was largely
anticipated on 20th Sep, 2024. In a unanimous vote, the Policy Board decided to keep its
interest rate target in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, as highly expected.
10
Global News/Economy
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11
Global Indices
Indices
20-Sep-24
1-Week
Return
YTD
Return
Russell 3000 2,939.36 1.64% 22.33%
Nasdaq 100 19,791.49 1.42% 17.62%
FTSE 100 8,229.99 -0.52% 6.42%
DAX Index 18,720.01 0.11% 11.75%
Nikkei Average 37,723.91 3.12% 12.73%
Straits Times 3,624.76 1.74% 11.87%
Source: Refinitiv Value as on Sep 20, 2024
U.S.
• U.S. equity markets rose as investors
continued cheering the U.S. Federal
Reserve's decision on 18th Sep, 2024 to
lower interest rates by half a percentage
point. Further, the Labor Department
released the most recent data, which
shows that new claims for unemployment
benefits in the week ended 14th Sep,
2024 in the U.S. unexpectedly fell to a
low of over four months, and it also
helped the rally.
Europe
• European equity markets closed on a mixed note. The market rose as investors assessed
the latest U.S. monetary policy decision to reduce the interest rate by 50 basis points.
Further, the much-awaited decision by the Bank of England to maintain interest rates
steady was likewise absorbed by investors.
Asia
• Asian equity markets mostly rose following the announcement by the U.S. Federal Reserve
of a larger-than-usual 50-bps reduction in borrowing costs, along with indications of
additional easing measures in the upcoming months.
Global Equity Markets
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3.55
3.60
3.65
3.70
3.75
16-Sep 17-Sep 18-Sep 19-Sep 20-Sep
Yield in %
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Movement
Source: Refinitiv
12
• Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose
by 8 bps to close at 3.73% from the
previous week’s close of 3.65%.
• U.S. Treasury prices fell as the release of
jobless claims data that exceeded
expectations heightened global risk
appetite, following the U.S. Federal
Reserve's announcement of a significant
interest rate reduction on 18th Sep,
2024.
• Further, prices fell following the
announcement that retail sales for the
month of Aug 2024 in the largest global
economy rose unexpectedly.
Global Debt (U.S.)
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8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
10.00
10.50
11.00
20-Aug-24 5-Sep-24
Global Commodity Movement
Gold Spot ($/Oz) Silver Spot ($/Oz) Brent ($/bbl)
Global Commodity Prices
Rebased to 10
Source: Refinitiv
13
Performance of various commodities
Commodities
Last Closing* 1-Week Ago
Brent Crude($/Barrel)
78.20 75.93
Gold ($/Oz)
2,621.96 2,576.50
Gold (Rs/10 gm)
73,715 72,761
Silver ($/Oz)
31.11 30.66
Silver (Rs/Kg)
88,560 86,002
Source: Refinitiv *Value as on Sep 20, 2024
Gold
• Gold prices rose after a significant drop in
the U.S. interest rate following the U.S.
Federal Reserve's 50-bps rate cut. Further
prices rose on expectations of more
interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal
Reserve in coming months. The demand for
the safe-haven yellow metal has surged,
driven by increasing tensions in the Middle
East also added to the gains.
Brent Crude
• Brent crude oil prices rose amid hopes that
reduced borrowing costs will stimulate fuel
demand in the world's largest economy,
the U.S. Further, gains were increased amid
escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Baltic Dry Index
• The index rose over the week due to
improved capesize and panamax activities.
Commodities Market
20-Sep-24
2.99%
1.76%
1.48%
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9.60
9.80
10.00
10.20
10.40
10.60
20-Aug-24 5-Sep-24
USD GBP Euro JPY
Source: Refinitiv
Currency Prices ( in terms of INR)
Rebased to 10
Currency Movement
14
Movement of Rupee vs Other Currencies
Last Closing* 1-Wk Ago
83.49 83.92
111.23 110.22
93.29 92.95
58.83 59.49
Source: Refinitiv Figures in INR , *Value as on Sep
20, 2024
Rupee
• The Indian rupee in the spot trade rose against
the U.S. dollar supported by anticipated
portfolio inflows and following the U.S. Federal
Reserve's decision to implement a 50-basis
point reduction in interest rates.
Euro
• The euro rose against the greenback after the
U.S. Fed cut its interest rate by 50 basis points.
Pound
• Pound surged against the U.S. dollar after the
U.S. Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by
50 basis points on 18th Sep, 2024, bringing it to
a range of 4.75% to 5.00%, a move that
exceeded economists' expectations.
Y
en
• Yen fell against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of
Japan left interest rates unchanged on 20th
Sep, 2024 and indicated that it was not in a
hurry to hike them again.
Currencies Markets
20-Sep-24
-0.51%
-1.11%
0.36%
0.92%
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15
The Week that was…
16
th
Sep to 20
th
Sep
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16
The Week that was (Sep 16 – Sep 20)
Date Events
Present
Value
Previous
Value
Monday,
September 16, 2024
• Eurozone Trade Balance (Jul)
€21.2B €21.7B
• Eurozone Labor Cost (Q2)
4.70% 5.00%
Tuesday,
September 17, 2024
• India WPI Inflation (YoY) (Aug)
1.31% 2.04%
• India Balance of Trade (Aug)
$-29.7B $-23.5B
• U.S. Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
0.10% 1.10%
• U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug)
0.80% -0.60%
Wednesday,
September 18, 2024
• U.K. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
2.20% 2.20%
• U.K. Retail Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
3.50% 3.60%
• Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) (Aug)
2.20% 2.20%
• U.S. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
5.00% 5.50%
Thursday,
September 19, 2024
• Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
5.00% 5.00%
• U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 13)
219K 231K
• U.S. Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) (Aug)
3.86M 3.95M
Friday,
September 20, 2024
• People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision
3.35% 3.35%
• Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
0.15% 0.15%
• Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
-0.80% -0.80%
• U.K. Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
2.50% 1.5%
• Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Sep) Prel
-12.90 -13.50
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17
The Week Ahead
23
rd
Sep to 27
th
Sep
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18
The Week Ahead
Day Event
Monday,
Sep 23, 2024
• Germany Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
• Eurozone HCOB Services PMI (Sep)
• U.K. S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
• U.S. S&P Global Services PMI (Sep)
Tuesday,
Sep 24, 2024
• Germany IFO – Current Assessment (Sep)
• U.S. Housing Price Index (MoM) (Jul)
• U.S. Consumer Confidence (Sep)
Wednesday,
Sep 25, 2024
• U.S. New Home Sales Change (MoM) (Aug)
• U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Sep 20)
Thursday,
Sep 26, 2024
• U.S. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q2)
• U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 20)
• U.S. Durable Goods Orders (Aug)
Friday,
Sep 27, 2024
• Germany Unemployment Change (Sep)
• Eurozone’s Consumer Confidence (Sep)
• U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
• U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Sep)
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
The information herein is meant only for general reading purposes and contains all factual and statistical information pertaining to Industry and
markets which have been obtained from independent third party sources and which are deemed to be reliable. The information provided cannot be
considered as guidelines, recommendations or as a professional guide for the readers. It may be noted that since Nippon Life India Asset
Management Limited (NAM India) has not independently verified the accuracy or authenticity of such information or data, or for that matter the
reasonableness of the assumptions upon which such data and information has been processed or arrive data; NAM India does not in any manner
assures the accuracy or authenticity of such data and information. Some of the statements & assertions contained in these materials may reflect NAM
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completeness, adequacy and reliability of such data or information. Whilst no action has been solicited based upon the
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19
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