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NEWS U CAN USE
Sep 27, 2024
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The Week that was…
23
rd
Sep to 27
th
Sep
2
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Indian Economy
• According to the Labour Ministry, the Employees Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) saw
a net increase of 19.94 lakh members in Jul 2024. The union Labour minister noted that
10.52 lakh new workers enrolled in EPFO's Social Security schemes, with a large number
being young people aged 18-25. Additionally, female employment rose with 4.41 lakh new
members joining.
• According to finance minister, India's external debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 18.7%, with a
debt service ratio of 6.7% and a foreign exchange reserves-to-external debt ratio of 97.4%.
The finance minister also emphasized that India's external debt is sustainable and well-
managed, showcasing the nation's robust standing in comparison to numerous middle-
income countries.
• The Asian Development Bank has kept India's growth prediction at 7% for FY25, pointing
to better farm production and increased government spending. The economy is predicted
to gain momentum in the upcoming quarters, supported by strong performance in both
industry and services. Additionally, a rise in private consumption and investment is
expected.
• According to reports, India's exports of gems and jewellery experienced a decline of
18.79% in Aug 2024, amounting to USD 2,012.51 million compared to the previous year.
This downturn is attributed to a slowdown in global consumption, exacerbated by
geopolitical tensions. Notable decreases were observed in the exports of cut and polished
diamonds, lab-grown diamonds, gold jewellery, and coloured gemstones.
3
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4
Domestic Equity Market Indices
Indices
27-Sep-24 1 Week Return YTD Return
BSE Sensex
85,571.85 1.22% 18.45%
Nifty 50
26,178.95 1.50% 20.47%
BSE Mid
-Cap 49,490.32 0.67% 34.34%
BSE Small
-Cap 57,091.36 0.02% 33.79%
Source: Refinitiv
Values as on Sep 27, 2024
• Domestic equity markets rose for the
third consecutive week as key
benchmark indices BSE Sensex and
Nifty 50 rose 1.22% and 1.50%,
respectively. The rally was broad-based
as the mid-cap segment and the small-
cap segment closed the week in green.
• Domestic equity markets rose following
weak U.S. economic data that bolstered
the case for deeper rate cuts by the
Federal Reserve in the next meeting,
which is due in Nov 2024. The influx of
retail investors, the robustness of
India's economic expansion, and
increasing optimism regarding the
possible initiation of a rate-cutting
cycle have propelled the market
upward. Sentiment was boosted
following China's recent economic
stimulus announcement.
Ratios
BSE Sensex
Nifty 50 BSE Mid Cap
BSE Small
Cap
P/E
25.12 24.34 43.34 34.49
P/B
4.33 3.87 5.08 3.88
Dividend Yield
1.06 1.16 0.67 0.57
Source: NSE, BSE
Values as on Sep 27, 2024
Indian Equity Market
NSE Advance/Decline Ratio
Date
Advances Declines Advance/Decline Ratio
23-Sep-24 1,723 1,061 1.62
24-Sep-24 1,291 1,477 0.87
25-Sep-24 1,131 1,637 0.69
26-Sep-24 1,157 1,606 0.72
27-Sep-24 1,369 1,390 0.98
Source: NSE
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5
Sectoral Indices
Indices
Last Returns (in %)
Closing 1-Wk 1-Mth
BSE Auto
62,237.4 4.34% 6.23%
BSE Bankex
61,152. 0.32% 4.76%
BSE CD
67,944.5 0.15% 7.09%
BSE CG
73,704.1 0.45% 0.05%
BSE FMCG
23,891. -0.22% 4.06%
BSE HC
44,437.4 0.68% 4.93%
BSE IT
42,791.9 0.13% 0.24%
BSE Metal
34,246. 7.11% 5.19%
BSE Oil & Gas
31,896.8 5.86% -2.09%
Source:BSE
Values as on Sep 27, 2024
• On the BSE sectoral front, BSE Metal rallied
7.11% after the People’s Bank of China cut the
reserve requirement ratio for banks by 50 bps
and lowered key interest rate in an effort to
support the country's faltering economy. China
remains the largest consumer of commodities in
the world and a stronger demand from China
can lift up global demand and prices too.
• BSE Oil & Gas gained 5.86% led by oil marketing
companies as the decline in crude oil prices lead
the gains for oil marketing companies.
Indian Derivatives Market Review
• Nifty Oct 2024 Futures stood at 26,345.15, a premium of 170.00 points above the spot
closing of 26,175.15.
• The total turnover on NSE’s Futures and Options segment for the week stood at Rs.
1,887.38 lakh crore as against Rs. 2,107.83 lakh crore for the week to Sep 20.
• The Put-Call ratio stood at 0.96 compared with the previous week’s close of 0.77.
• The Nifty Put-Call ratio stood at 1.16 compared with the previous week’s close of 1.5.
Indian Equity Market (contd.)
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6.68
6.70
6.72
6.74
6.76
6.78
23-Sep 24-Sep 25-Sep 26-Sep 27-Sep
Yield in %
10 -Yr Benchmark Bond ( % )
Source: CCIL
6
Debt Indicators
(%)
Current
Value
1-Wk
Ago
1-Mth
Ago
6-Mth
Ago
Call Rate
6.53 6.69 6.51 6.64
91 Day T-Bill
6.54 6.57 6.64 6.97
07.06% 2028, (5 Yr GOI)
6.67 6.69 6.78 7.09
07.10% 2034, (10 Yr GOI)
6.76 6.76 6.86 7.07
Source: Refinitiv Values as on Sep 27, 2024
• Bond yields initially fell on expectations
of lower domestic debt supply in the
second half of FY25 along with another
significant interest rate cut by the
Federal Reserve. However, gains were
wiped out after the central government
upheld its borrowing plan as budgeted,
defying the market participants’
expectations of a reduction.
• The central government has retained its
gross market borrowing target of Rs.
14.01 lakh crore budgeted for FY25 and
planned to raise Rs. 6.61 lakh crore
through auction of dated securities
during Oct to Mar period of this fiscal.
• Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper
(7.10% GS 2034) was unchanged to close
at 6.76% from the previous week’s close.
Domestic Debt Market
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-4
-2
0
2
4
6.20
6.40
6.60
6.80
7.00
3 Mths 6 Mths 1 Yr 5 Yrs 10 Yrs 20 Yrs 30 Yrs
India Yield Curve Shift (%) (W-o-W)
Change in bps 27-Sep-24 20-Sep-24
Yield in %
Change in bps
Source: Refinitiv
7
Maturity
G-Sec Yield
(%)
Corporate Yield
(%)
Spread
bps
1 Year 6.76 7.53 77
3 Year 6.80 7.36 56
5 Year 6.79 7.34 55
10 Year 6.87 7.38 51
Source: Refinitiv
Values as on Sep 27, 2024
• Yields on gilt fell up to 4 bps across the maturities,
barring 1 year paper that rose by 3 bps, while 3, 5 &
10 year papers were unchanged.
• Corporate bond yields fell up to 2 bps across the
curve, barring 1 year paper that increased by 3 bps,
while 2, 9, 10 & 15 year papers were unchanged.
• Difference in spread between AAA corporate bond
and gilt remained steady or expanded by 1 bps
across the segments, barring 3 & 5 year papers that
contracted by 2 bps each and 6 & 15 year papers
that expanded by 2 bps each.
Domestic Debt Market (Spread Analysis)
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8
• SEBI has published a consultation paper suggesting a color-coded risk-o-meter for mutual
fund schemes, following recommendations from the Mutual Fund Advisory Committee
(MFAC). The goal is to standardize a uniform disclosure format and simplify the current risk-
o-meter system for better understanding. Additionally, SEBI recommends that AMCs inform
their unitholders about any changes to the risk-o-meter, providing both the new and old
versions via email or SMS.
• The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has announced the regulations for the Vivad se
Vishwas 2.0 scheme, designed to resolve tax disputes that were unresolved as of Jul 2022.
This new scheme streamlines the process into four steps and provides lower settlement
amounts for declarations submitted by 31st Dec 2024. Any payments made after 1st Jan
2025, will incur increased rates.
• The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India has made changes to the Insolvency
Resolution Process for Corporate Persons w.e.f. Sep 24, 2024. One of these modifications is
the appointment of a temporary representative for sizable creditor groups, such as
homebuyers, in order to guarantee their efficient representation throughout the insolvency
process. This seeks to improve the bankruptcy process's equity and efficiency.
• The central government has retained its gross market borrowing target of Rs. 14.01 lakh
crore budgeted for FY25 and planned to raise Rs. 6.61 lakh crore through auction of dated
securities during Oct to Mar period of this fiscal to fund the revenue gap to boost economic
growth.
Regulatory Updates in India
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9
• According to Steel Secretary, the government is preparing a second round of the
production-linked incentive program for specialty steel because the first round did not live
up to expectations. During the CII Steel Summit 2024, he mentioned that of the Rs. 6,400
crore allotted, only Rs. 2,600 crore was used. Specialty steel is essential to industries like
automotive and defence.
• The government is thinking of hiking the price of ethanol and raising the Minimum Selling
Price (MSP) of sugar in addition to reviewing sugar exports for the 2024-25 season. Food
Minister mentioned that discussions are ongoing with the petroleum ministry regarding
ethanol prices and a committee is evaluating the MSP of sugar, which has been unchanged
since Feb 2019.
• The Indian government following the sixth session of the India-Egypt Joint Trade
Committee (JTC) announced that the two countries have identified international trade
settlement and digital payments, trade and investment in the Suez Canal Economic Zone
(SCEZ), and transport and trade disputes as areas of focus.
Regulatory Updates in India (contd..)
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• According to the Commerce Department, U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE)
price index inched up by 0.1% in Aug 2024 after rising by 0.2% in Jul 2024. The uptick
matched expectations. The report also said the annual rate of growth of the PCE price
index slowed to 2.2% in Aug 2024 from 2.5% in Jul 2024.
• According to the Labor Department, U.S. initial jobless claims slipped to 218,000 in the
week ended 21st Sep 2024, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level of
222,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to rise to 225,000 from the 219,000
originally reported for the previous week.
• According to a survey, U.K. flash composite output index dropped to 52.9 in Sep 2024 from
53.8 in Aug 2024. Nonetheless, a reading above 50.0 suggests expansion in the private
sector.
• According to a survey, eurozone’s HCOB flash composite output index dropped to 48.9 in
Sep 2024 from 51.0 in Aug 2024. The reading was the lowest in eight months and
remained below the forecast of 50.6.
• According to the survey, Germany’s business confidence index fell more-than-expected to
85.4 in Sep 2024 from 86.6 in the previous month. The score was seen at 86.1. The
indicator dropped for the fourth straight month to hit the lowest score since January.
• According to a survey, Japan’s flash composite output index fell to 52.5 in Sep 2024 from
52.9 in the prior month. Further, the flash services Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 53.9
from 53.7 in Aug 2024.
10
Global News/Economy
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11
Global Indices
Indices
27-Sep-24
1-Week
Return
YTD
Return
Russell 3000 2,949.90 0.36% 22.77%
Nasdaq 100 20,008.62 1.10% 18.92%
FTSE 100 8,320.76 1.10% 7.60%
DAX Index 19,473.63 4.03% 16.25%
Nikkei Average 39,829.56 5.58% 19.02%
Straits Times 3,573.36 -1.42% 10.28%
Source: Refinitiv Value as on Sep 27, 2024
U.S.
• U.S. equity markets rose as strength in
the tech sector following a chipmaker
company from the U.S. that reported
strong sales driven by AI demand. Stocks
experienced a positive impact from the
publication of encouraging U.S. economic
data, as a report from the Labor
Department indicated that initial claims
for unemployment benefits in the U.S.
unexpectedly declined during the week
ended 21st Sep, 2024.
Europe
• European equity markets rose amid optimism the Chinese government is set to unveil
additional stimulus measures to help spur growth in the nation's economy, alongside
expectations that the U.S. Fed will further reduce interest rates in the upcoming months.
Asia
• Chinese and Hong Kong markets surged following China's central bank announcement of
its most significant stimulus package since the pandemic to support the economy and
address the ongoing challenges in the property sector. Additionally, the Japanese market
experienced a positive trend amid indications that the Bank of Japan is not in a rush to
implement further interest rate increases.
Global Equity Markets
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3.70
3.72
3.74
3.76
3.78
3.80
23-Sep 24-Sep 25-Sep 26-Sep 27-Sep
Yield in %
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Movement
Source: Refinitiv
12
• Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose
by 2 bps to close at 3.75% from the
previous week’s close of 3.73%.
• U.S. Treasury prices fell as benchmark
10-year notes have experienced gains in
five out of the last seven sessions with
investors maintaining their confidence
that the U.S. Federal Reserve would
successfully navigate a soft landing for
the largest economy in the world during
its recent cycle of interest rate
reductions.
• However, losses were restricted
following the release of data indicating
a continued decline in the U.S. Personal
Consumption Expenditures in Aug 2024
within the world's largest economy, the
U.S., the likelihood of a significant
interest rate reduction at the U.S.
Federal Reserve's policy meeting in Nov
2024 has increased.
Global Debt (U.S.)
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4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
27-Aug-24 12-Sep-24
Global Commodity Movement
Gold Spot ($/Oz) Silver Spot ($/Oz) Brent ($/bbl)
Global Commodity Prices
Rebased to 10
Source: Refinitiv
13
Performance of various commodities
Commodities
Last Closing* 1-Week Ago
Brent Crude($/Barrel)
72.57 78.2
Gold ($/Oz)
2,657.97 2,621.96
Gold (Rs/10 gm)
75,340 73,715
Silver ($/Oz)
31.62 31.11
Silver (Rs/Kg)
90,951 88,560
Source: Refinitiv *Value as on Sep 27, 2024
Gold
• Gold prices rose amid continued optimism
about more interest-rate reductions by the
U.S. Federal Reserve in coming months.
Geopolitical tensions have also played a
significant role in sustaining the demand
for the safe-haven yellow metal.
Brent Crude
• Brent crude oil prices fell amid concerns
about the outlook for demand after data
showed a significant decline in business
activity within the eurozone, and on
worries about excess supply in the market.
However, losses were limited after the
Middle East Tensions exploded.
Baltic Dry Index
• The index rose over the week due to
improved capesize and panamax activities.
Commodities Market
27-Sep-24
-7.20%
1.37%
1.63%
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9.60
9.80
10.00
10.20
10.40
27-Aug-24 12-Sep-24
USD GBP Euro JPY
Source: Refinitiv
Currency Prices ( in terms of INR)
Rebased to 10
Currency Movement
14
Movement of Rupee vs Other Currencies
Last Closing* 1-Wk Ago
83.67 83.49
112.05 111.23
93.46 93.29
58.23 58.83
Source: Refinitiv Figures in INR , *Value as on Sep
27, 2024
Rupee
• The Indian rupee in the spot trade fell against
the U.S. dollar despite rise in other Asian peers
and positive trends in domestic equities.
Euro
• The euro rose slightly against the greenback as
investors maintained their positions,
anticipating that the U.S. Federal Reserve will
implement another significant interest rate
reduction during its Nov 2024 meeting.
Pound
• Pound rose against the U.S. dollar as investors
held onto bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will
set another large interest rate at its upcoming
monetary policy meeting.
Y
en
• Yen rose against the U.S. dollar as the new
ruling party leader was elected as the next
Prime Minister.
Currencies Markets
27-Sep-24
0.21%
-1.02%
0.19%
0.73%
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15
The Week that was…
23
rd
Sep to 27
th
Sep
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16
The Week that was (Sep 23 – Sep 27)
Date Events
Present
Value
Previous
Value
Monday,
September 23, 2024
• Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prel 40.30 42.40
• Eurozone HCOB Services PMI (Sep) Prel 50.50 52.90
• U.K. S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Sep) Prel 51.50 52.50
• U.S. Global Services PMI (Sep) Prel 55.40 55.70
Tuesday,
September 24, 2024
• Germany IFO – Current Assessment (Sep) 84.40 86.40
• U.S. Housing Price Index (MoM) (Jul) 0.10% 0.00%
Wednesday,
September 25, 2024
• U.S. New Home Sales Change (MoM) (Aug) -4.70% 10.30%
• U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Sep 20) -4.471M -1.63M
Thursday,
September 26, 2024
• Germany GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (Oct) -21.20 -21.90
• U.S. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q2) 3.00% 3.00%
• U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 20) 218K 222K
• U.S. Durable Goods Orders (Aug) 0.00% 9.90%
• U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Aug) 0.60% -5.50%
Friday,
September 27, 2024
• Germany Unemployment Change (Sep) 17K 2K
• Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Sep) -12.90 -12.90
• U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) (Aug) 0.10% 0.20%
• U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Sep) 70.10 69.00
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17
The Week Ahead
30
th
Sep to 04
th
Oct
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18
The Week Ahead
Day Event
Monday,
Sep 30, 2024
• India Infrastructure Output (YoY) (Aug)
• India Current Account – Q1FY25
• China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
• U.K. Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q2)
Tuesday,
Oct 01, 2024
• India HSBC Manufacturing PMI Final (Sep)
• Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) (Sep) Prel
• U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
Wednesday,
Oct 02, 2024
• Eurozone Unemployment Rate (Aug)
• U.S. ADP Employment Change (Sep)
Thursday,
Oct 03, 2024
• Eurozone HCOB Services PMI (Sep)
• U.S. S&P Global Composite PMI (Sep)
• U.S. ISM Services PMI (Sep)
Friday,
Oct 04, 2024
• India HSBC Services PMI Final (Sep)
• Eurozone’s Producer Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
• U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep)
• U.S. Unemployment Rate (Sep)
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
The information herein is meant only for general reading purposes and contains all factual and statistical information pertaining to Industry and
markets which have been obtained from independent third party sources and which are deemed to be reliable. The information provided cannot be
considered as guidelines, recommendations or as a professional guide for the readers. It may be noted that since Nippon Life India Asset
Management Limited (NAM India) has not independently verified the accuracy or authenticity of such information or data, or for that matter the
reasonableness of the assumptions upon which such data and information has been processed or arrive data; NAM India does not in any manner
assures the accuracy or authenticity of such data and information. Some of the statements & assertions contained in these materials may reflect NAM
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19
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