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NEWS U CAN USE
May 01, 2020
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The Week that was…
27
th
Apr to 01
st
May
2
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
Indian Economy
The index of eight core industries fell by 6.5% in Mar 20 from growth of 7.1% in the
previous month and growth of 5.8% in the same period of the period of the previous year.
The cement sector witnessed a maximum decline of 24.7% followed by natural gas and
steel sector which fell 15.2% and 13%, respectively. Only coal sector witnessed growth 4%
in Mar 20. The outbreak of coronavirus and the lockdown has taken a toll on India's core
sector growth with the index nosediving into the negative territory.
The Asian Development Bank has approved $1.5 billion loan to India. The fund will help
fight against coronavirus pandemic. The loan has been sanctioned in order to support
immediate priorities such as disease containment and prevention, and social protection for
the poor and economically vulnerable sections.
A major rating agency has further downgraded India’s growth projection to 1.9% in FY21,
down from 3.6% stated in Mar 2020. This will be the lowest GDP growth rate in the last 29
years and assumes that the partial lockdown will continue till mid-May. The rating agency
also assumes contraction of 2.1% for FY21 if the lockdown continued beyond mid-May,
which would take the economy to a 41-year low and would count as only the sixth instance
of negative growth.
As per media reports, the Indian automobile industry is set to report almost zero sales in
Apr 2020, the first time in its history, as factories and dealerships are closed amid
nationwide lockdown.
3
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4
Domestic Equity Market Indices
Indices 30-Apr-20 1 Week Return YTD Return
S&P BSE Sensex
33,717.62 7.63% -18.27%
Nifty 50
9,859.90 7.71% -18.97%
S&P BSE Mid-Cap
12,013.45 4.79% -19.74%
S&P BSE Small-Cap
11,101.84 4.40% -18.96%
Source: MFI Explorer
NSE Advance/Decline Ratio
Date Advances Declines Advance/Decline Ratio
27-Apr-20 1085 762 1.42
28-Apr-20 986 830 1.19
29-Apr-20 1144 696 1.64
30-Apr-20 1095 732 1.50
Source: NSE
Indian equity markets surged in the
holiday truncated week. Positive global
cues contributed to the upside with
increased focus on easing of lock down
measures globally.
Bourses found initial boost after
Reserve Bank of India announced that it
shall open a special liquidity window of
Rs 50,000 crore to ease pressure on
mutual funds in the wake of the
winding up of six debt funds by one of
the mutual fund players.
Better than expected corporate
earning numbers reported by one of
the private sector lenders also
increased risk appetite of the market
participants. Additionally, acquisition
deal by another private sector lender
boosted indices.
Ratios
S&P BSE
Sensex
Nifty 50
S&P BSE
Mid Cap
S&P BSE
Small Cap
P/E
20.90 22.35 23.31 176.75
P/B
2.63 2.81 1.98 1.64
Dividend Yield
1.13 1.54 1.44 1.48
Source: BSE, NSE Value as on Apr 30, 2020
Indian Equity Market
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5
Sectoral Indices
Indices
Last Returns (in %)
Closing* 1-Wk 1-Mth
S&P BSE Auto
13,349.86 9.26% 26.17%
S&P BSE Bankex
24,724.52 10.04% 18.42%
S&P BSE CD
20,525.39 6.32% 6.64%
S&P BSE CG
12,186.72 4.78% 14.10%
S&P BSE FMCG
10,770.70 -0.01% 8.81%
S&P BSE HC
15,332.39 -0.58% 28.10%
S&P BSE IT
14,235.04 9.86% 17.39%
S&P BSE Metal
6,745.97 13.85% 20.73%
S&P BSE Oil & Gas
12,066.36 8.50% 23.03%
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon *Value as on Apr 30, 2020
On the BSE sectoral front, S&P BSE Metal was
the top gainer, up 13.85%, followed by S&P
BSE Bankex and S&P BSE IT, which rose
10.04% and 9.86%, respectively.
Metal sector rose after the media reports
stated that India turned out to be net
exporter of steel with an increase of 31.4% in
March 2020, as disclosed in the provisional
data from government. Further, steel imports
fell 13.6%, much of it because of a 22% fall in
steel imports from China.
Indian Derivatives Market Review
Nifty May 2020 Futures stood at 9,830.85, a discount of 29.05 points, below the spot
closing. The total turnover on NSE’s Futures and Options segment for the week stood at Rs.
54.71 lakh crore as against Rs. 53.75 lakh crore for the week to Apr 17.
The Put-Call ratio stood at 0.87 compared with the previous session’s close of 0.82.
The Nifty Put-Call ratio stood at 1.78 compared with the previous session’s close of 1.34.
Indian Equity Market (contd.)
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6
Debt Indicators
(%)
Current
Value
1-Wk
Ago
1-Mth
Ago
6-Mth
Ago
Call Rate
4.19 4.04 4.29 5.07
91 Day T-Bill
3.64 3.65 4.25 5.04
07.32% 2024, (5 Yr GOI)
5.10 5.13 5.59 6.23
06.45% 2029, (10 Yr GOI)
6.11 6.17 6.14 6.45
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon Value as on Apr 30, 2020
Bond yields fell as the Reserve Bank of
India’s (RBI) special open market
operation (OMO) absorbed the supply
of higher-duration securities. Yields
also fell on expectations that the 10-
year paper may be included in the next
auction of special open market
operation, which could be as early as
next week.
Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper
(6.45% GS 2029) fell 6 bps to close at
6.11% compared with the previous
week’s close of 6.17% after trading in
a range of 6.10% to 6.20%.
RBI conducted the auction of
operation market operations (OMO)
purchase and sale of four securities
each aggregating to Rs. 20,000 crore
(both purchase and sale) for which full
amount was accepted.
Domestic Debt Market
6.00
6.09
6.18
27-Apr 28-Apr 29-Apr 30-Apr
Yield in %
10 -Yr Benchmark Bond ( % )
Source: CCIL
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7
Maturity
G-Sec Yield
(%)
Corporate Yield
(%)
Spread
bps
1 Year
3.97 5.72 175
3 Year
4.78 6.55 177
5 Year
5.22 6.86 164
10 Year
6.20 7.47 126
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
Valueason
Apr 30, 2020
Yields on gilt securities fell across
maturities in the range of 2 bps to 9 bps
barring 2-, 3-, 11-year papers that rose by 1
bps or 7 bps and 19-year paper that stood
steady.
Corporate bond yields rose across the
maturities by up to 62 bps barring 5- to 7-
year papers that fell by 1 bps or 3 bps.
Spread between AAA corporate bond and
gilt expanded across maturities by up to
65 bps barring 6-year paper that stood
steady.
Domestic Debt Market (Spread Analysis)
-12
-6
0
3.00
5.00
7.00
3 Mths 6 Mths 1 Yr 5 Yrs 10 Yrs 20 Yrs 30 Yrs
India Yield Curve Shift (%) (W-o-W)
Change in bps 30-Apr-20 24-Apr-20
Yield in %
Change in bps
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
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8
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced that it will open a special liquidity window of Rs.
50,000 crore to reduce pressure on mutual funds as they are facing liquidity concerns due to
increased volatility in capital markets amid Coronavirus outbreak. Under this liquidity
window, the RBI will conduct 90 days tenor repo operations at the fixed repo rate. The
facility will be on-tap and open-ended. Banks can submit their bids to avail funding on any
day from Monday to Friday. Funds availed under the scheme can be solely used by banks for
meeting the liquidity requirements of mutual funds by extending loans, and undertaking
outright purchase of and/or repos against investment collateral.
The finance ministry has established the International Financial Services Centres Authority
(IFSCA), headquartered in Gandhinagar in Gujarat. The new establishment is a unified
authority to regulate all financial services in the country. The main function of the authority
is to regulate financial products such as securities, deposits or contracts of insurance,
financial services and financial institutions which have been previously approved by any
appropriate regulator in an IFSC which are SEBI, RBI, IRDAI and the Pension Fund Regulatory
and Development Authority. The IFSCA will comprise of a chairperson, and one member
each nominated by the regulators mentioned earlier. There will also be two members from
the central government and full-time or part-time members.
Regulatory Updates in India
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9
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has decided to reduce broker turnover
fees and filing fees on offer documents for public issue, rights issue and buyback of shares.
The broker turnover fee will be reduced to 50% of the existing fee structure for the period
Jun 2020 to Mar 2021 in order to help investors to tide over challenges due to Covid-19
and boost market sentiment. The benefit of the above reduction in fees will automatically
be passed on to the investors.
The Securities Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has clarified that the grandfathering of the
existing unlisted non-convertible debentures (NCDs) is applicable across the mutual fund
industry and thus mutual funds can transact in such NCDs. However, investments in such
NCDs will continue to be subject to compliance with investment due diligence and all
other applicable investment restrictions. Sebi has also extended timelines for reducing
exposure to unlisted NCDs in phased manner that is by Sep 30, 2020, mutual funds can
bring down exposure to 15%, and 10% by Dec 31, 2020.
Sebi has invited research proposals from researchers on various issues of stock markets.
This is for Sebi’s Development Research Group (DRG)-III studies. The study is an initiative by
regulator’s Department of Economic and Policy Analysis and is aimed at undertaking
policy-oriented research study on seminal topics. In addition, the regulator has planned to
conduct a study on household investors to ascertain their risk profile and match it with
their investment behaviour as well as to find out mutual fund investors' behaviour and
investment patterns.
Regulatory Updates in India (contd..)
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A report from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that U.S. real gross domestic
product decreased at an annual rate of 4.8% in the first quarter of 2020 following a 2.1%
increase in the fourth quarter of 2019.
Preliminary data from Eurostat showed that Gross domestic product of the euro zone
contracted 3.8% sequentially in the first quarter of 2020 following a 0.1% rise in the fourth
quarter of 2019.
The U.S. Federal Reserve in its monetary policy review kept interest rates unchanged at
near zero and pledged to keep it there until the U.S. economy recovers. The U.S. Federal
Reserve warned that the COVID-19 pandemic will “weigh heavily” on economic activity of
the U.S. economy.
The European Central Bank (ECB) in its monetary policy review strengthened its liquidity
supportive measures in order to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. ECB lowered the interest
rate on TLTRO (targeted longer-term refinancing operations) operations to 50 basis points
below the average interest rate. In addition, ECB introduced a new series of non-targeted
pandemic emergency longer-term refinancing operations, or PELTRO that will be
conducted from May 2020.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) in its monetary policy review voted 8-1 to keep interest rates on
hold at -0.1% in its monetary policy review. However, BoJ expanded the monetary stimulus
as it removed the limit for government bond purchases.
10
Global News/Economy
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11
Global Indices
Indices
01-May-20
1-Week
Return
YTD
Return
Russell 3000 1,350.24 -0.05% -5.32%
Nasdaq 100 8,718.18 -0.78% -0.17%
FTSE 100 5,763.06 0.19% -23.59%
DAX Index* 10,861.64 5.08% -18.02%
Nikkei Average 19,619.35 1.86% -17.07%
Straits Times 2,624.23 4.21% -18.57%
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
Valueason
May 01, 2020; * as on Apr 30, 2020
U.S.
U.S. markets mostly fell during the
week. Initially, market rose largely led
by prospects of a potential treatment of
COVID-19 infection.
By the end, gains reversed after reports
showing contraction in U.S. economic
activity and disappointed corporate
quarterly earnings.
Europe
European markets too witnessed buying spree with investors taking positive cues from
the latest batch of corporate earning numbers and stabilisation of oil prices following
initial plunge. Optimism over potential treatment of the coronavirus infection also
contributed to the upside.
Asia
Asian markets reflected gains in the global peers following developments on potential
new treatment for Covid-19 patients. Market sentiments boosted after Bank of Japan
increased its purchases of corporate debt in order to ease funding strains.
Global Equity Markets
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12
Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury went
up for the first time in three weeks and
rose 4 bps to close at 0.64% compared
to the previous week’s close of 0.60%.
U.S. Treasury prices fell as market
participants braced for massive looming
supply of U.S. Treasuries which will be
issued to finance the stimulus measures
taken by the U.S. government to
combat the economic fallout of the
coronavirus pandemic across the
country.
However, further losses were restricted
after the U.S. Federal Reserve in its
monetary policy review vowed to use
every possible measure to rescue the
coronavirus-ravaged U.S. economy.
Global Debt (U.S.)
0.60
0.63
0.66
27-Apr 28-Apr 29-Apr 30-Apr 1-May
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Movement
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
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13
Performance of various commodities
Commodities Last Closing* 1-Week Ago
Brent Crude($/Barrel) 14.85 12.29
Gold ($/Oz) 1,699.12 1,727.43
Gold (Rs/10 gm)^ 40,989 40,989
Silver ($/Oz) 14.94 15.24
Silver (Rs/Kg)^ 36,871 36,871
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon *Value as on May 01, 2020; ^ as on Apr 30, 2020
Gold
Gold prices slipped as the investor risk
sentiment improved on hopes that
countries across the globe might ease
restrictions on coronavirus-driven
lockdowns.
Brent Crude
Brent crude prices remained in recovery
path as concerns over demand outlook
in the wake of COVID-19 pandemic was
outweighed by data from U.S. Energy
Information Administration showing
lower than expected build up in crude
stockpiles for the week to Apr 24.
Baltic Dry Index
Baltic Dry Index fell due to sluggish
capsize and panamax activities.
Commodities Market
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1-Apr-20 11-Apr-20 21-Apr-20 1-May-20
Global Commodity Movement
Gold Spot ($/Oz) Silver Spot ($/Oz) Brent ($/bbl)
Global Commodity Prices
Rebased to 10
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
‐1.97%
20.83%
‐1.64%
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14
Movement of Rupee vs Other Currencies
Currency Last Closing* 1-Wk Ago
US Dollar
75.12 76.42
Pound Sterling
93.59 94.22
EURO
81.62 82.21
100 Yen
70.48 71.00
Source: RBI Figures in INR , *Value as on Apr 30, 2020
Rupee
The Indian rupee surged against the U.S.
dollar following rise in domestic equities
and dollar sales by exporters and
corporate dollar inflows.
Euro
Euro rose against the U.S. dollar as
equity market surged after Gilead
Sciences reported an encouraging
update on a potential treatment for the
Covid-19.
Pound
The pound rose against the greenback
on improved risk sentiment.
Yen
YenroseagainsttheweakU.S.dollar
after the U.S. President threatened to
impose new tariffs on China over the
coronavirus crisis.
Currencies Markets
9.70
9.80
9.90
10.00
10.10
10.20
10.30
31-Mar-20 10-Apr-20 20-Apr-20 30-Apr-20
USD GBP Euro JPY
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon
Currency Prices ( in terms of INR)
Rebased to 10
Currency Movement
-0.67%
-1.70%
-0.73%
-0.72%
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
15
The Week that was…
27
th
Apr to 01
st
May
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16
The Week that was (Apr 27– May 01)
Date Events Present Value Previous Value
Monday,
April 27, 2020
• Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision -0.10% -0.10%
• Japan Unemployment Rate (Mar) 2.50% 2.40%
Tuesday,
April 28, 2020
• U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)(Feb) 3.50% 3.10%
• U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) -53 2
Wednesday,
April 29, 2020
• U.S. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
• U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Apr 24) 8.991 M 15.022 M
• U.S. Gross Domestic Product Annualized(Q1) P -4.80% 2.10%
• U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM)(Mar) -20.80% 2.30%
• Japan Industrial Production (MoM)(Mar) P -3.70% -0.30%
Thursday,
April 30, 2020
• Germany Retail Sales (MoM)(Mar) -5.60% 0.80%
• Euro Zone Unemployment Rate (Mar) 7.40% 7.30%
• Euro Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)(Q1) P -3.30% 1.0%
• European Central Bank Monetary Policy Review 0% 0%
• U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 24) 3839 K 4442 K
• U.S. Personal Income (MoM)(Mar) -2.00% 0.60%
• U.S. Personal Spending (Mar) -7.50% 0.20%
Friday,
May 1, 2020
• U.K. Markit Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 32.60 32.90
• U.S. Markit Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 36.10 36.90
• U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 36.10 49.10
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
17
The Week Ahead
04
th
May to 08
th
May
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18
Day Event
Monday,
May 04, 2020
U.S. Factory Orders MM Mar 2020
Euro Zone Sentix Index May 2020
India IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI Apr 2020
Germany Markit/BME Manufacturing PMI Apr 2020
Euro Zone Markit Manufacturing Final PMI Apr 2020
Tuesday,
May 05, 2020
U.K. Composite PMI Apr 2020
U.S. Goods Trade Balance (R) Mar 2020
U.S. Markit Services PMI Final Apr 2020
Wednesday,
May 06, 2020
India IHS Markit Services PMI Apr 2020
Euro Zone Markit Comp Final PMI Apr 2020
Germany Industrial Orders MM Mar 2020
U.S. ADP National Employment Apr 2020
Thursday,
May 07, 2020
Germany Industrial Output MM Mar 2020
U.K. Halifax House Prices MM Apr 2020
Bank of England Monetary Policy Review
Friday,
May 08, 2020
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Apr 2020
U.S. Average Earnings YY Apr 2020
The Week Ahead
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19
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